2025 BMW Championship: Aberg Longshot Pick & Odds

The FedEx Cup Playoffs will proceed this week with the 2025 BMW Championship serving as the second event in the three-week postseason series. Justin Rose emerged victorious in last week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship, despite beginning with +10000 odds, making him one of the least likely contenders in the tournament. Could Rose potentially secure another substantial reward for those who choose him on wagering platforms when placing their wagers for the 2025 BMW Championship? Only 50 competitors remain in the FedEx Cup Playoffs, signifying the presence of only the world’s elite golfers. Scottie Scheffler currently holds the position of favorite with odds of +230, closely followed by Rory McIlroy at +700, according to the most recent 2025 BMW Championship odds.

The BMW Championship 2025 is scheduled to commence at Caves Valley Golf Club, situated near Baltimore, Maryland, starting on Thursday, August 14. Rose is listed with odds of +4000 following his unexpected win in the previous weekend, where he outperformed J.J. Spaun after engaging in three playoff rounds. Spaun is listed with odds of +3000 to achieve victory this week, and given his notable performance during the opening stage of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, predictive models identify Spaun as a promising longshot for wagers placed on the 2025 BMW Championship. New users at FanDuel Sportsbook have the option to utilize the latest FanDuel promo code to receive $300 in bonus bets if their initial wager is successful, and they can also benefit from one of the best sportsbook promos:

With the participants in the 2025 BMW Championship now confirmed, SportsLine conducted 10,000 simulations of the tournament, revealing their selections for potential longshot winners. New subscribers have the chance to utilize the most recent DraftKings promo code, bet365 bonus code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code. At bet365, new users can secure $150 in bonus bets by placing a wager of $5 or more. This offer is available for claim here.

Ludvig Aberg (25-1)

The 25-year-old golfer achieved a T-9 finish last week, bringing an end to a period of less impressive performance for the emerging star. This marked only his second top-10 placement in his last 10 tournaments, while also representing his second top-10 finish in the most recent three events. Aberg previously secured victory at the 2023 RSM Classic in just his 15th appearance on the PGA Tour, and he also achieved a second-place finish in the 2024 Masters during his inaugural major tournament. Aberg possesses the capability to establish a lead from the tee, holding a ranking of 10th in strokes gained: off the tee, and also ranking within the top 25 in total driving and driving distance on the PGA Tour this year. The 25-year-old is currently listed with odds of 25-1 at FanDuel, and the latest FanDuel promo code is providing new users with $300 in bonus bets if their initial wager of $5 or more results in a win. 

J.J. Spaun (30-1)

Experiencing defeat in any playoff situation can be disheartening, but facing such a loss following three playoff rounds and the prospect of a $3.6 million payout can be particularly tough. Nevertheless, Spaun’s $2.16 million reward for securing second place also represents a significant outcome for his efforts, and forecasting models suggest that he will likely maintain a prominent presence near the top of the leaderboard once again at the 2025 BMW Championship. The 34-year-old player achieved his first significant major victory this year by winning the U.S. Open with odds of +12500, positioning him as one of the least favored individuals to ever achieve victory in a major tournament. Despite the significantly reduced odds compared to his U.S. Open triumph, the statistical models continue to recognize considerable potential value in Spaun’s performance this weekend. He currently holds the third position in the FedEx Cup standings and ranks seventh on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained for the year. BetMGM has listed Spaun with odds of 30-1, and the most recent BetMGM promo code presents new users with the opportunity to secure up to $1,500 in bonus bets if their initial wager does not result in a win.

Ben Griffin (40-1)

The 29-year-old has demonstrated a variable performance pattern throughout the PGA Tour season, characterized by both periods of significant success and periods of underperformance. This kind of potential for significant achievement is precisely what one seeks when identifying a potential longshot winner. Griffin has secured two victories this year, most recently winning the Charles Schwab Challenge on May 25, and also achieved a second-place result one week later at The Memorial Tournament. He secured a T-9 finish last week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship following a T-11 result at the Wyndham Championship, which followed his failure to make the cut in his two preceding tournaments. He has achieved fourth-place or better finishes in five tournaments this year and currently holds the 11th position on the PGA Tour in terms of total strokes gained. Griffin currently has odds of 40-1 at FanDuel, presenting an additional opportunity to utilize the latest FanDuel promo code and receive $300 in bonus bets if your initial wager proves successful.

More 2025 BMW Championship picks

You’ve been informed of the latest longshots identified by predictive models. Now, you can view the BMW Championship leaderboard, including projected results for prominent players like Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, and others. Visit SportsLine to access the projected leaderboard, as generated by a model that has accurately predicted the outcomes of 16 golf majors, including the four most recent Masters tournaments, the past two PGA Championships, and three majors in both 2024 and 2025.

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