Around five out of the last half-dozen Open Championship victors began with odds of +2000 or more, with a couple of the previous five champions boasting odds of +8000 or higher, in the major known for producing some of the most startling champions in recent memory. It also showcases significant fluctuation, as each of the most recent 11 Open Championship champions secured their inaugural triumph at the competition leading into the 2025 Open Championship, which commences on Thursday at Royal Portrush Golf Club in Northern Ireland. The 2025 Open Championship roster is brimming with golfers of varying odds, all vying for their first British Open title, so how should this factor into your 2025 Open Championship wagering approach when placing bets on the year’s concluding major?
Scottie Scheffler is currently favored at +450 according to the latest 2025 Open Championship odds, aiming to secure his first victory in the event. However, the Open Championship 2025 also presents a multitude of underdog possibilities, with Tommy Fleetwood (+2800) highlighted as a favored longshot by the model. Fleetwood previously secured second place at the 2019 Open Championship held at Royal Portrush Golf Club, and the model anticipates another impressive showing from the English competitor, projecting him as a valuable choice at 28-1 odds for 2025 Open Championship wagers.
With the 2025 Open Championship lineup now finalized, SportsLine conducted 10,000 simulations of the tournament, unveiling its longshot betting recommendations. New users can explore the latest DraftKings promo code, BetMGM promo code, bet365 bonus code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
Tommy Fleetwood (28-1)
Fleetwood has a record of 0-for-160 throughout his PGA Tour journey, still in pursuit of his first victory after more than a decade of participation in PGA Tour events. However, with five top-10 placements, including a second-place finish at the Travelers Championship on June 22, over 15 PGA Tour competitions this year, Fleetwood is showcasing some of the most competitive golf of his career. He’s achieved a fourth-place or higher ranking in three of his last seven tournaments, and the 34-year-old currently holds the fourth position on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained this year.
The Englishman has a commendable history at Royal Portrush Golf Club, having secured second place at the 2019 Open Championship. The Englishman has achieved three top-10 finishes in his last five Open Championship appearances at a tournament that carries even greater significance for European players like Fleetwood. Fleetwood has attained at least one top-five result at a major in six of the preceding seven years (excluding 2020), a feat he has yet to accomplish this year. However, considering Fleetwood is competing on a course where he has a notable track record, the model identifies value in Fleetwood for 2025 Open Championship bets. DraftKings is offering the most favorable odds on Fleetwood at 28-1, and the latest DraftKings promo code immediately grants new users $150 in bonus bets upon placing their initial $5 wager.
Shane Lowry (30-1)
Lowry emerged victorious at the 2019 Open Championship as an 80-1 underdog at Royal Portrush Golf Club, and despite possessing considerably shorter odds in the Irishman’s return to the Northern Ireland course, the model still projects value in Lowry at his current price. The 38-year-old, similar to other European golfers, has delivered some of his most impressive major performances at the Open Championship, including a sixth-place finish last year. He’s secured a top-12 ranking in three of his last five Open Championships, and Lowry currently holds the 13th position on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained this year.
Lowry has only secured one PGA Tour victory since his Open Championship title, but he achieved runner-up status in two tournaments this season, most recently finishing T-2 at the Truist Championship on May 11. He’s coming off consecutive disappointing results, finishing T-45 at the Travelers Championship after failing to make the cut at the U.S. Open, but with ample support behind him at a course where he previously triumphed, the model projects value in Lowry at 30-1 odds for 2025 Open Championship wagers. You can also utilize the latest FanDuel promo code to receive $150 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet is successful.
Justin Thomas (55-1)
The 32-year-old currently holds the fourth position in the FedEx Cup standings as the former No. 1 ranked golfer is exhibiting performance levels closer to his once elite standing. Thomas has achieved a victory and two runner-up finishes in his last nine PGA Tour appearances. His RBC Heritage victory on April 20 concluded a nearly 36-month winless drought. Despite enduring almost three full years without a victory, Thomas still boasts 16 career PGA Tour wins, including two majors, as he participates in his ninth Open Championship.
Thomas secured a T-11 finish at the 2019 Open Championships at Royal Portrush Golf Club. He’s successfully made the cut in 14 of 16 PGA Tour competitions this year. However, he has failed to make the cut in seven of his last 11 majors, but the model interprets his price dropping to over 50-1 odds as an overreaction to this. Thomas is experiencing one of his most proficient putting seasons on the PGA Tour, currently ranking first in birdie average and putting average, and some well-timed putts could propel him towards the top of the 2025 Open Championship leaderboard. You can place a wager on Thomas at bet365, where you can bet $5 and receive $150 in bonus bets, regardless of the outcome:
More 2025 Open Championship picks
You’ve now seen the model’s most recent longshot selections. Next, examine the Open Championship leaderboard, which includes projected finishes for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, and more. Visit SportsLine to view the projected leaderboard, derived from the model that has accurately predicted 15 golf majors, including the last four Masters, the past two PGA Championships, and three majors in 2024.
You can also access expert insights before finalizing your PGA Tour selections. Visit SportsLine now to explore recommendations from expert Brady Kannon for the Open Championship 2025, provided by an expert who has correctly identified eight majors since 2013 and has precisely selected four outright winners this season.
Expert Eric Cohen has also formulated a 2025 Open Championship parlay that has the potential to yield nearly $1.1 million on a $10 wager. Explore it here and access further PGA Tour guidance at SportsLine.
