The 2026 PGA Championship is approaching its final stages, with the fourth and concluding round commencing Sunday morning at Aronimink Golf Club, located in Newtown Square, Pa. Alex Smalley secured a birdie on the 18th hole, alongside three others within his last four holes in Round 3, achieving a total score of 6 under par for the competition, establishing a two-stroke advantage over the pursuing competitors. Nevertheless, several prominent players are hot on his heels, including Ludvig Aberg (-4), Jon Rahm (-4), Rory McIlroy (-3), and Xander Schauffele (-3), each positioned within three strokes of the leader. Reigning champion Scottie Scheffler currently stands at 1 under par overall.
Heading into Sunday’s play, Smalley holds the favored position with odds of +480 (meaning a $100 wager could yield $480) in the 2026 PGA Championship betting lines. He is closely trailed by Rahm at +500, Aberg at +600, and McIlroy at +700. Prior to finalizing any selections for Sunday’s 2026 PGA Championship, it is advisable to review the tournament forecasts and anticipated leaderboard generated by the highly successful computational model available on SportsLine.
The exclusive SportsLine analytical tool, developed by daily fantasy sports expert Mike McClure, has executed 10,000 simulations for each PGA Tour event, uncovering highly lucrative golf wagering recommendations.
Furthermore, this identical model has accurately predicted an impressive 17 major tournaments leading up to this weekend, encompassing the 2026 Masters – marking its fifth consecutive Masters success – in addition to correctly forecasting last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Individuals who have heeded its sports wagering advice would have potentially realized substantial profits on various betting platforms.
As the 2026 PGA Championship progresses into its fourth round, the model performed 10,000 simulations of the remaining competition, yielding unexpected outcomes. Access SportsLine presently to view the predicted leaderboard.
2026 PGA Championship Sunday predictions
A significant revelation from the model concerning Sunday at the 2026 PGA Championship indicates an unforeseen outcome: It forecasts Smalley will conclude outside the top 5, even with his two-stroke advantage entering Round 4. Throughout the weekend, he has surpassed expectations, posting scores of 67-69-68. While his performance has been commendable, a formidable group of contenders is poised to challenge him. The model suggests his limited exposure to such high-stakes environments makes him a challenging pick to support. Discover other players to consider passing on here.
An additional unexpected prediction: The model anticipates a strong recovery for Scheffler on Sunday, foreseeing his return to the top 5 despite starting the day tied for 23rd. He recently recorded consecutive rounds of 71, although his initial round was a 67. Scheffler currently holds the PGA’s best fourth-round scoring average this season at 67.22, prompting the model to highly value him for outright championship wagers at +1600, and as a compelling option for top-5 finishes at +230. Learn about other promising selections here.
How to make 2026 PGA Sunday picks
The analytical tool furthermore identifies various dark horse candidates, among them one with approximately 40-1 odds who is predicted to stage an astonishing bid for the championship. The model’s complete selections are exclusively available here.
Discover the potential victor of the 2026 PGA Championship and identify which underdogs are poised to astonish the golf community. Examine the 2026 PGA Championship betting odds provided underneath, and subsequently navigate to SportsLine to access the forecasted leaderboard, all derived from the model that has successfully predicted 17 major golf events, including three during 2025.
2026 PGA Championship Sunday odds, favorites
Access comprehensive 2026 PGA Championship selections, optimal wagers, and forecasts here.
(Betting lines provided by FanDuel and are subject to alteration)
Alex Smalley +480
Jon Rahm +500
Ludvig Åberg +600
Rory McIlroy +700
Xander Schauffele +1200
Scottie Scheffler +1600
Aaron Rai +1800
Nick Taylor +1800
Patrick Reed +2200
Maverick McNealy +2700<3000Matti Schmid +3000
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Chris Gotterup +4000
Justin Rose +4000
Min Woo Lee +4000
Joaquin Niemann +5000
Brooks Koepka +6000
Ben Griffin +6500
Kristoffer Reitan +7000
Cameron Smith +7000
Chris Kirk +10000
Sam Burns +10000
Cameron Young +10000
Bud Cauley +10000
Max Greyserman +10000
Rickie Fowler +10000
