The 2026 PGA Tour calendar commences with the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii on Thursday, January 15. This initial tournament at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu is scheduled one week later than usual, following the cancellation of The Sentry event this year because of venue issues. Consequently, there will be only a single competition forming the Hawaii Swing this season, and several prominent competitors opted not to participate. Nevertheless, notable figures such as Collin Morikawa, Hideki Matsuyama, J.J. Spaun, and Jordan Spieth are among those golfers set to compete this week.
Current betting figures for the 2026 Sony Open via DraftKings Sportsbook show Morikawa and Matsuyama rated at +1700, Spaun at +1900, and Spieth at +4000. Russell Henley is favored at +1100, alongside Ben Griffin at +1300. For guidance on 2026 Sony Open selections, review the golf forecasts and anticipated standings generated by SportsLine’s established analytical model.
The unique analytical tool developed by DFS specialist Mike McClure for SportsLine has demonstrated remarkable accuracy since the PGA Tour recommenced in June 2020. Indeed, this system has accumulated over $8,000 in successful wagers since the resumption of play, consistently identifying winners in numerous events.
Furthermore, this identical computational method has accurately predicted a substantial 16 major championships leading into the current weekend, encompassing the 2025 Masters – its fourth consecutive Masters prediction – in addition to the PGA Championship and Open Championship for the current year. Individuals who have tracked its sports wagering recommendations would have realized significant profits through gambling platforms.
With the participant roster for the 2026 Sony Open now finalized, SportsLine conducted a simulation of the event 10,000 times, yielding unexpected outcomes. Access SportsLine to view the anticipated rankings.
Anticipated Results for the 2026 Sony Open
A significant unexpected outcome projected by the model for the 2026 Sony Open is that Russell Henley, currently the favored contestant, will struggle, barely securing a spot within the top 5. He is considered a player to bypass in this week’s competition. The victor of the 2013 Sony Open has not consistently replicated that level of achievement in subsequent appearances at this tournament. In the period since, he has failed to make the cut on two occasions and has concluded three other tournaments outside the leading 30 positions. His performance last year resulted in a tie for 10th. Having competed only once since last season’s playoffs, where he placed 19th at the Procore Championship, the model consequently regards his status as a favorite this year as less compelling. Discover other players to disregard here.
An additional unexpected finding: J.J. Spaun, an outsider with 19-1 odds, is predicted to contend strongly for the championship. He represents an attractive option for those seeking significant returns. The 2025 U.S. Open victor achieved a tied-for-3rd position in this competition last year. He also carries notable momentum into the fresh season, having participated in three autumn tournaments and consistently placing no lower than a tie for 11th in any of them. The analytical system has flagged him as a top-three prospect this week, positioning him as a commendable choice for your prime Sony Open wagers. Uncover further selections here.
How to make 2026 Sony Open picks
The predictive system has additionally pinpointed three competitors, holding odds of +2500 or greater, as potential top-10 finishers. Those supporting these less-favored players might achieve substantial wins. Access the model’s complete predictions exclusively here.
Which player will claim victory at the 2026 Sony Open, and which less-expected contenders are poised to impress the golf community? Review the 2026 Sony Open probabilities listed subsequently, and then proceed to SportsLine for the anticipated leaderboard, all derived from the analytical framework that has successfully predicted 16 major golf tournaments, with three occurring in 2025.
2026 Sony Open Probabilities, Leading Contenders
Obtain comprehensive 2026 Sony Open selections, optimal wagers, and forecasts here.
(likelihoods may fluctuate)
Russell Henley +1100
Ben Griffin +1300
Hideki Matsuyama +1700
Collin Morikawa +1700
Si Woo Kim +1900
Robert MacIntyre +1900
J.J. Spaun +1900
Keegan Bradley +2200
Maverick McNealy +2500
Harry Hall +2500
Nick Taylor +3000
Chris Kirk +3500
Kurt Kitayama +3500
Keith Mitchell +4000
Jordan Spieth +4000
Corey Conners +4000
Adam Scott +4000
Rico Hoey +4500
Chris Gotterup +4500
Aaron Rai +4500
Kevin Yu +5000
Nicolas Echavarria +5000
John Keefer +5000
Denny McCarthy +5000
Brian Harman +5000
Kristoffer Reitan +5500
Taylor Pendrith +5500
Jake Knapp +5500
Eric Cole +5500
Mac Meissner +6000
Matt McCarty +6500
Daniel Berger +6500
Michael Brennan +6500
Gary Woodland +7000
Neal Shipley +7000
Emiliano Grillo +7500
Billy Horschel +7500
Sam Stevens +7500
Pierceson Coody +7500
Michael Kim +7500
Webb Simpson +8000
Ryan Gerard +8000
Alex Smalley +8000
Vince Whaley +9000
Sahith Theegala +9000
Jordan Smith +9000
Haotong Li +9000
Tom Kim +10000
Tony Finau +10000
Seamus Power +10000
Matti Schmid +10000
John Parry +10000
Chandler Blanchet +10000
Lee Hodges +10000
Patrick Rodgers +11000
Bud Cauley +11000
Max McGreevy +11000
Luke Clanton +11000
Doug Ghim +12000
William Mouw +12000
Jacob Bridgeman +12000
Mark Hubbard +13000
Austin Eckroat +13000
Ricky Castillo +14000
Adrien Dumont De Chassart +14000
Zac Blair +16000
Daniel Brown +16000
Steven Fisk +16000
David Ford +17000
Beau Hossler +17000
Adam Svensson +17000
Keita Nakajima +18000
Takumi Kanaya +18000
S.H. Kim +18000
Christo Lamprecht +18000
Chad Ramey +19000
Kevin Roy +20000
Dylan Wu +20000
Erik Van Rooyen +20000
Ryo Hisatsune +20000
Nick Dunlap +20000
Adrien Saddier +20000
Cam Davis +25000
Alejandro Tosti +25000
Davis Riley +25000
Austin Smotherman +25000
Patton Kizzire +25000
Matthieu Pavon +25000
Brian Campbell +25000
Zecheng Dou +25000
Zach Johnson +25000
Chandler Phillips +25000
Adam Schenk +25000
Tom Hoge +30000
Kensei Hirata +30000
Gordon Sargent +30000
Seung Taek Lee +35000
Emilio Gonzalez +35000
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +40000
Kota Kaneko +40000
Hank Lebioda +40000
Brice Garnett +40000
Davis Chatfield +45000
Ren Yonezawa +50000
Pontus Nyholm +50000
John Vanderlaan +50000
Jeffrey Kang +50000
Yuta Sugiura +60000
Joe Highsmith +60000
Zach Bauchou +70000
Kazuki Higa +70000
Marcelo Rozo +70000
Danny Walker +70000
Vijay Singh +80000
Peter Malnati +80000
Rafael Campos +100000
A.J. Ewart +100000
