Apart from the Steelers, no offensive unit is displaying more impressive statistics than the Patriots currently. Mac Jones is performing at a Pro Bowl caliber, Najee Harris is revitalizing his performance, and DeVante Parker’s presence last Sunday amplified an already formidable group. Nevertheless, the difficulty escalates this week as they journey eastward to confront a truly exceptional Browns defensive squad.
Guided by coordinator Jim Schwartz, who previously served as the head coach for the Lions, Cleveland is experiencing defensive superiority once more. Ranking third in EPA/play allowed and sixth in defensive DVOA, Schwartz’s defense has sustained its excellence from the previous season.
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Schwartz has extensive experience, having honed his skills under three different former Patriots coaches: Romeo Crennel, Eric Mangini, and Bill Belichick over the years. Observing his defensive strategies reveals influences from all three coaches. Schwartz employs a diverse scheme incorporating various pre- and post-snap formations.
Elements of Belichick’s approach are evident in how Schwartz conceals his defense before the snap. He is a master of simulated pressures, often feigning multiple blitzers or pass rushers before assigning them to coverage. However, Schwartz also favors genuine blitzes, having inherited numerous unconventional blitz packages from Crennel.
The Browns are currently blitzing at a 34.8% frequency, ranking fifth highest in the league. They also hold the league’s top position in pressure rate and sacks. The blitz isn’t their only source of pass rush; Denver also leads the league in pressure rate without resorting to a blitz. This stems from Schwartz’s proficiency in simulated pressures, enabling edge rushers Myles Garrett and Za’Darius Smith to create havoc.
Defensively, Schwartz has become a proponent of man coverage. He frequently utilizes middle-of-field-closed coverages, with the Browns leading the league in Cover 0. Schwartz’s strategy is enabled by his cornerbacks, particularly Denzel Ward and Greg Newsome II. Both are performing exceptionally well and are adept at holding their own in press man coverage. Juan Thornhill has also excelled as a versatile enforcer in the box for this defense.
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Historically, the Patriots have struggled against similar defensive setups. While Jones is undoubtedly capable of overcoming man coverage, New England hasn’t consistently had receivers (excluding Parker) who can capitalize on it. Opposing teams often focus on short routes, unafraid of deep throws, or overwhelm the offensive line with pressure, knowing the passing game is limited.
This aspect makes this contest especially intriguing.
Firstly, Jones excels against the blitz. Additionally, he arguably possesses the best receiving corps of his career. He certainly has a weapon like Juju Smith-Schuster, who can challenge Cover 0 schemes in multiple ways. Tyquan Thornton, recently activated from injured reserve, provides a similar vertical threat. Meanwhile, Demario Douglas possesses the speed to create problems in man coverage as well.
Cleveland has also shown success in run defense, allowing the sixth-fewest rushing yards per carry. They also permit only 0.48 yards before contact per attempt, ranking fourth best; in essence, they swiftly engage the ball carrier. An interesting point is that their 3.30 yards after contact per attempt are tied for the eighth highest.
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Harris, who began his career with the Steelers before losing favor with current head coach Mike Tomlin, enters this game as one of the most proficient players at gaining yards after contact. He is currently third in the league in rushing and third in yards after contact per rush. He is also tied for ninth among running backs in forced missed tackles.
In summary, Cleveland presents a formidable defensive challenge, but the Patriots have the talent to exploit some of the Browns’ vulnerabilities. The outcome hinges on a blend of strategic scheme and flawless execution, qualities that have characterized this offense recently. Accomplishing this on the road in Cleveland, where weather can be a factor, introduces a new dimension.