The Detroit squad’s outfielder, Riley Greene, will likely feel relieved to face someone other than Paul Skenes when he steps into the batter’s box this Tuesday. The outfielder experienced a tough game against Skenes on Monday, going hitless in four at-bats with three strikeouts, two of which were delivered by Skenes. The Pirates’ star pitcher had also previously struck out Greene during the All-Star Game. However, with Skenes not scheduled to pitch, Greene emerges as a strong contender for hitting a home run on Tuesday, especially considering his recent performance, where he has blasted a home run in three of his last six games.
According to the latest MLB home run odds from a major sportsbook, Greene is listed at +500 to hit a home run, making him an appealing option for MLB HR bets. Pittsburgh’s Oneil Cruz has odds of +360 to hit a home run and +3500 to hit 2+ homers. MLB home run props are offered for almost every player in every game at several betting platforms, and a sophisticated computer model can assist you in discovering valuable choices for your MLB betting decisions. New members can utilize the latest promotional offers to gain advantages.
The advanced projection model simulates each MLB game 10,000 times to provide the most accurate predictions. It is currently up by a significant margin on its individual MLB HR selections for this season and has accurately predicted multiple parlays with substantial payouts. Currently, the model and a team of data specialists have revealed their betting projections for several of the most popular MLB HR prop bets scheduled for Tuesday. You can find even more selections in their daily blog. It’s also worth checking out the top player props and game previews.
Top MLB home run selections for Tuesday:
Riley Greene, Detroit (+500)
At the age of 24, Greene has already achieved a career-best of 25 home runs, despite playing in just his 100th game of the season in his fourth year in the major league. Greene has shown consistent improvement in his power numbers each year, and he reached this latest career-high with still over two full months remaining in the 2025 MLB season. Greene homered in consecutive games leading up to the All-Star Break and then hit another one in his second game following the break.
“Greene is typically a reliable choice when matched against a right-handed pitcher, and data suggests that right-handers pose a greater challenge for Mitch Keller,” stated data expert Jacob Fetner. “Left-handed batters have a higher OPS against Keller, compared to right-handers. In spite of being stifled by Paul Skenes the day before, Greene maintains a solid batting average this season, with the majority of his home runs coming against right-handed pitchers.”
Jo Adell, Los Angeles (+425)
The player has hit two home runs in his past four games, and his statistics show that when he makes contact, the ball travels a considerable distance. Adell possesses an above-average bat speed, with a barrel percentage and hard-hit rate exceeding the majority of baseball players. Adell, who has already achieved a career-best total of 21 home runs despite still being in his sixth major league season, isn’t up against a pitcher with a high strikeout rate this season, as Mets starter Frankie Montas has only recorded a limited number of strikeouts since returning from injury, which increases his chances of making solid contact.
“Adell is essentially a player with two possible outcomes – either he hits the ball powerfully or he strikes out,” Fetner explained. “We believe there’s a solid chance he’ll connect against Frankie Montas, who has demonstrated inconsistency since recovering from his injury. Montas has conceded a certain number of home runs per nine innings since the second half of the 2022 season.”
Jazz Chisholm Jr., New York (+375)
The infielder hasn’t hit a home run in eight games; however, he still possesses a decent number of home runs in a limited number of games, which averages to nearly one home run every four games. This is the highest home run rate of his five full seasons in the MLB, and Fetner is optimistic about Tuesday’s matchup, believing it presents an opportunity for a resurgence of the power he exhibited earlier in the season, during which Chisholm managed to hit a significant number of home runs in the month of June.
“Jazz has a limited record against Max Scherzer; however, his few hits against the pitcher included a home run and a triple,” Fetner stated. “Despite performing below expectations in the HR Derby, Jazz remains a consistent threat in game situations, specifically against right-handed pitchers, against whom he demonstrates an above-average OPS and has hit the vast majority of his home runs. While Scherzer is a Hall-of-Famer, he is a seasoned pitcher currently dealing with injuries.”
Where to place bets on MLB props on Tuesday
Here’s a list of online platforms that will be offering MLB HR props on Tuesday:
Additional MLB selections for Tuesday
You’ve reviewed the model’s MLB HR prop selections for a number of players on Tuesday. Now, access MLB projections for every player prop.
Seeking further insights? Examine today’s top MLB selections, who possesses a strong record on MLB picks.
