Two squads vying for divisional supremacy and the privilege of hosting a postseason series in the 2025 MLB playoffs will clash on Sunday Night Baseball as the Philadelphia Phillies square off against the Detroit Tigers. Philadelphia trails the New York Mets by a mere half-game for the NL East’s top spot, while Detroit boasts a commanding eight-game advantage in the AL Central. Sunday’s pitching duel will showcase Philadelphia’s Christopher Sanchez (9-3, 2.55 ERA) versus Detroit’s Charlie Morton (7-8, 5.42 ERA). This matchup decides the series victor after Philadelphia secured Game 1 and Detroit claimed Game 2.
The initial pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Philadelphia is favored at -186 (bet $186 to potentially win $100) according to the latest Phillies vs. Tigers odds, while Detroit is the underdog at +151 (bet $100 to potentially win $151). The projected over/under for the game’s total score is 8.5. Morton’s over/under for outs recorded is 15.5, and his over/under for strikeouts is 5.5. Before solidifying any Tigers vs. Phillies predictions, be sure to consult the MLB betting insights from SportsLine’s sophisticated model.
SportsLine’s Projection Model runs 10,000 simulations for each MLB contest. By Week 19 of the 2025 MLB campaign, it had a 27-22 record on its highest-rated MLB money-line selections. It has demonstrated remarkable accuracy in forecasting home run props this year, yielding gains of over 40 units. Followers utilizing sportsbooks and betting apps could have realized substantial returns.
Here are the model’s top three recommendations for Phillies vs. Tigers on Sunday:
Spencer Torkelson Over 0.5 total bases (-169)
The former top overall draft choice is having a career-best statistical year, with at least one total base in 67 of his 106 games played this season. He possesses an .801 OPS for the year and a .968 OPS versus left-handed pitchers. Facing a lefty on Sunday, the model foresees him accumulating an average of 1.9 total bases, labeling this MLB player prop as a 5-star opportunity.
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 RBI (+133)
Schwarber tallied his 87th RBI of the season during Philadelphia’s Game 1 triumph over Detroit, securing an RBI in 52 of his 109 appearances this year. This alone suggests potential value at the given odds, but his past performance against Morton should amplify this proposition. He holds a 7-for-23 record against Morton, featuring two home runs, three RBI, and a 1.017 OPS.
Christopher Sanchez Over 1.5 earned runs allowed (-170)
Despite being a potential contender for the NL Cy Young Award with an impressive 2.55 ERA and 139 strikeouts over 130 2/3 innings pitched, he encountered some difficulties against the White Sox in his last outing. Sanchez surrendered two home runs and four earned runs over 6 2/3 innings in Chicago, concluding a streak of six consecutive starts where he conceded just one run. Furthermore, he has had 10 other starts this season where he permitted more than one earned run, and the model predicts he’ll give up an average of 2.3 tonight.
Want more MLB picks for Sunday?
You’ve observed the model’s MLB selections for Phillies versus Tigers on Sunday Night Baseball. Now, gain access to every MLB selection from leading expert Bruce Marshall, who has amassed almost 16 units in his previous 143 MLB picks.
