Steelers vs. Patriots: 2025 Week 3 Odds, Time & Picks Guide

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) and the New England Patriots (1-1) will face each other in an AFC matchup during Week 3. The Steelers were victorious against the Jets in Week 1 but suffered a 31-17 defeat against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 2. New England experienced the reverse, losing their initial game before securing a 33-27 win against the Miami Dolphins in Week 2. Alex Highsmith (knee) will be absent for the Steelers, and Christian Gonzalez (hamstring) is listed as questionable for New England. 

The game is scheduled to commence at 1 p.m. ET from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. The Steelers are considered the favorites by 1.5 points in the latest Steelers versus Patriots odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, while the predicted total score is 44.5. Prior to deciding on any Patriots versus Steelers selections, it’s crucial to examine the NFL projections from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, has yielded profits exceeding $7,000 for $100 bettors on top-rated NFL selections since its establishment. The model boasts an impressive 37-17 record on top-rated selections going back to 2024. Individuals who have been following its NFL betting selections at sportsbooks and on betting platforms could have achieved considerable gains.

Currently, the model has concentrated its analysis on Steelers versus Patriots. The following are numerous NFL odds and betting options for Patriots versus Steelers:

Steelers versus Patriots point spread

Pittsburgh -1.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Steelers versus Patriots over/under

44.5 points

Steelers versus Patriots money line

Pittsburgh -122, New England +102


These are the SportsLine Projection Model’s suggested wagers for Steelers versus Patriots:

  • Steelers -1.5
  • Under 44.5 points

Steelers -1.5

During 2024, the Steelers had a 5-3 record against the spread as the favored team and a 7-4 record against the spread in games outside their division. The Steelers possess a significant number of experienced players, which should prove advantageous on the road against the Patriots. Drake Maye holds a 2-5 record in his career at home and has faced considerable pressure this season, having been sacked seven times already. The model forecasts that Pittsburgh (-1.5) will successfully cover the spread in 61% of the simulated games on Sunday. 

Under 44.5 points

The Steelers have not managed to accumulate over 271 total yards in any game this season and only scored 17 points at home last week against the Seahawks. They converted on 5 out of 15 third-down attempts and averaged only 4.5 yards per play. New England’s offensive performance has been inconsistent, scoring 13 points in Week 1. Both teams have struggled to protect their quarterbacks, each allowing seven sacks through the first two games. The Under occurs in 57% of the simulated games, according to the SportsLine Projection Model.

Seeking additional Week 3 NFL insights?

You’ve now seen the model’s Week 3 NFL recommended wagers. Now, obtain against-the-spread, total, and money-line selections for each Week 3 NFL matchup here, all derived from the model that has simulated every game 10,000 times. 

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