The championship match of the premier international tournament is here, and it’s a compelling contest featuring the Stars and Stripes squaring off against the formidable El Tri. Amidst an unpredictable tournament, both squads have battled their way to the final showdown, albeit with distinct team compositions. Mexico is anchored by seasoned stars such as Edson Alvarez and Raul Jimenez, and El Tri have overcome all obstacles in their path. They will face their regional adversaries with the chance to secure their third successive Concacaf championship on the line.
In contrast, the USMNT’s tournament journey has been characterized by the absence of some of the most recognized names in their player pool. Mauricio Pochettino has been able to observe progress from players like Diego Luna, Matt Freese, and Malik Tillman, which may also pave the way for notable transfers for members of the USMNT in the lead-up to the 2026 World Cup held on their home turf. They’ll need to elevate their game further to triumph over Mexico at this crucial juncture. However, success here could solidify certain roster spots on Pochettino’s squad for 2026.
Presented below are the key storylines, details on how to view the match, and additional information:
How to watch USMNT vs. Mexico, odds
- Date: Sunday, July 6 | Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: NRG Stadium — Houston, Texas
- TV: FOX | Live stream: Fubo (Try for free)
- Odds: USMNT +190; Draw +210; Mexico +145
Last meeting
This game marks Pochettino’s second instance of leading the USMNT against El Tri, and enhancements will be vital. The USMNT were outclassed in their initial encounter back in October of 2024, suffering a 2-0 defeat in Mexico’s farewell match for midfielder Andres Guardado. While that particular match was played in Mexico against a full-strength squad, and Christian Pulisic wasn’t in the starting lineup for the USMNT, Pochettino will still have to contend with the absence of his primary roster despite this match taking place in the United States. The combination of injuries, the Club World Cup, and the need for rest has resulted in numerous players, anticipated to be part of the World Cup squad, being unavailable for this tournament. While this presents challenges for Pochettino, it simultaneously creates opportunities for the players who are participating.
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USMNT vs Mexico history
The rivalry between these two nations started back in 1934, and since then, they’ve faced off a total of 78 times. Mexico has emerged victorious in 37 of those encounters, while the USMNT has secured 24 wins, with the remaining 17 matches ending in a draw. This upcoming match will be their 11th meeting in a cup final, characterized by alternating periods of dominance between the two nations. Mexico has claimed victory in six of those finals, while the USMNT has triumphed in four. This presents an opportunity for the USMNT to prevent Mexico from clinching a third consecutive Concacaf title and to rekindle the success they enjoyed from 2021 to 2024, during which the USMNT secured three straight Cup final victories over El Tri.
Predicted lineups
USMNT: Matt Freese, Max Arfsten, Tim Ream, Chris Richards, Alex Freeman, Tyler Adams, Luca De La Torre, Diego Luna, Malik Tillman, Jack McGlynn, Patrick Agyemang
Mexico: Luis Malagon, Mateo Chavez, Johan Vazquez, Cesar Montes, Julian Arujo, Marcel Ruiz, Edson Alvarez, Gilberto Mora, Alexis Vega, Raul Jimenez, Roberto Alvarado
Player to watch
Diego Luna, USMNT: Luna’s exuberant celebration after scoring the USMNT’s second goal against Guatemala encapsulates the tone of this training camp for him. With three goals and two assists in five matches played throughout this tournament, Luna is making every effort to earn Pochettino’s confidence and secure a place in the World Cup squad. Displaying unwavering commitment to the team, Luna will play a pivotal role in the USMNT’s potential triumph over Mexico.
Storyline to watch
How much progress has this team made under Pochettino’s leadership? With Pochettino transitioning from club management to overseeing an international team, one of the most significant adjustments lies in the reduced training time with players. Training camps are condensed, necessitating the development of tactics that players can grasp quickly. However, this represents the longest competitive camp that Pochettino has managed, offering both an opportunity to assess the players’ capabilities and to allow them to familiarize themselves with his tactical approach.
Definite progress has been evident in the midfield and attacking aspects during this camp so far, yet this progress needs to extend to the defensive side when facing a formidable Mexico squad. This is where Pochettino’s tactical acumen comes into play to guide the USMNT through this challenge. Despite potentially being outmatched in terms of individual player skill, a collective display of dedication to the badge could make an upset a tangible possibility.
Prediction
After carefully contemplating whether to represent the USMNT or Mexico, Luna will indeed score against El Tri, but it won’t be enough for the USMNT to secure a victory. This Mexico team is disciplined and exhibiting strong form, so even if they fall behind, they’ll mount a comeback to secure a win and their third consecutive Concacaf title. Pick: USMNT 1, Mexico 2
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