Warriors vs. Thunder: Odds, Prediction, & Picks – December 2, 2025

A key matchup in Tuesday’s NBA schedule features the Oklahoma City Thunder defending their 12-game winning streak as they take on the Golden State Warriors. Oklahoma City (20-1) is coming off a 123-115 victory against Portland on Sunday, while the Warriors (11-10) secured a 104-96 win against New Orleans on Saturday. The Thunder emerged victorious in their initial encounter on Nov. 11, with a score of 126-102, after Golden State had won two of three games between the teams last season. Stephen Curry (quadriceps) is unavailable for the Warriors, and Jimmy Butler (gluteal contusion) is listed as questionable. On the Thunder’s side, Luguentz Dort (adductor) and Isaiah Hartenstein (calf) are sidelined.

The game is scheduled to begin at 11 p.m. ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Oklahoma City is currently favored by 11.5 points, according to the latest Thunder versus Warriors odds from SportsLine consensus, with the over/under for the total score set at 223.5. Before you consider any Warriors versus Thunder picks, make sure to review the NBA predictions and betting insights provided by the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates each NBA game 10,000 times. Over the past eight seasons, it has generated over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its highest-rated NBA picks. As the 2025-26 NBA season enters Week 7, the model boasts an impressive 29-14 record on top-rated NBA spread picks, dating back to the previous season. Anyone who has heeded its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have realized substantial gains.    

The model has now simulated the Thunder versus Warriors matchup 10,000 times and has just released its sought-after NBA picks and betting forecasts. You can visit SportsLine now to access the model’s picks. Here are some NBA odds and NBA betting lines for the Warriors versus Thunder game:

Thunder versus Warriors spread:    

OKC -11.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Thunder versus Warriors over/under:    

223.5 points

Thunder versus Warriors money line:    

OKC -602, Golden State +438

Thunder versus Warriors picks:    

See picks at SportsLine

Thunder versus Warriors streaming:

Fubo (Try for free) 

Strategies for Warriors versus Thunder selections

The SportsLine model’s recommendation is to lean Over on the total (223.5). This season, both teams have trended towards the over, with a combined record of 24-18. Their previous encounter in November also exceeded the over/under. Oklahoma City has seen the Over occur in its last three away games, while Golden State has witnessed the Over in eight out of its last 13 games.

Both teams possess strong offensive capabilities, with the Warriors leading the NBA in 3-pointers made and the Thunder ranking third in points scored per game. Furthermore, Oklahoma City will be without Dort and Hartenstein, who are key defensive players. As a result, it is anticipated that the Thunder will concede almost six points more than their average for the season. Based on this, the teams are predicted to combine for 228 points, with the Over having a probability of occurring in more than 50% of the simulated outcomes.

The model also indicates that one side of the spread has a greater than 60% chance of occurring. Visit SportsLine to view the model’s NBA picks

So, who will emerge as the winner between the Thunder and the Warriors, and which side of the spread has a better than 60% chance of success, based on the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to discover which side of the Warriors versus Thunder spread to support, all based on the model that has yielded over $10,000 in profits on its top-rated NBA picks, and learn more.

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