The second segment of the 2025 FedEx Cup Playoffs commences on Thursday, with Caves Valley Golf Club in Maryland acting as host for the 2025 BMW Championship. The leading 50 competitors in the FedEx Cup standings progressed beyond the initial stage the prior week, which culminated in Justin Rose defeating J.J. Spaun in a playoff. Scottie Scheffler, currently ranked No. 1 globally, secured a shared third-place finish alongside Tommy Fleetwood, who maintained the top spot as the final round approached. Scheffler is favored at +220 (bet $100 to potentially win $220) according to the 2025 BMW Championship odds, while Rory McIlroy is listed at +750 as he rejoins the competition after abstaining last week. Sepp Straka, positioned at No. 5 in the FedEx Cup Playoff rankings, withdrew on Monday due to personal circumstances, leaving a field of only 49 players. The opening tee-offs are scheduled for 9:21 a.m. ET on Thursday.
This tournament was previously staged at Caves Valley in 2021, where Patrick Cantlay emerged victorious in a playoff. Cantlay (25-1) boasts two BMW Championship titles, raising the question of whether he warrants consideration for your 2025 BMW Championship wagers. Prior to solidifying any 2025 BMW Championship selections, it’s crucial to examine the golf forecasts and anticipated leaderboard provided by SportsLine’s reliable computer model.
SportsLine’s exclusive model, crafted by DFS expert Mike McClure, has exhibited exceptional performance since the PGA Tour’s resumption in June 2020. Notably, the model’s optimal picks have generated over $8,500 in gains since the restart, accurately predicting numerous tournaments.
Remarkably, this same model has successfully predicted an impressive 16 major championships leading up to the weekend, encompassing the 2025 Masters – marking its fourth consecutive Masters prediction – as well as this year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Individuals who have adhered to its sports betting guidance could have realized substantial returns.
With the 2025 BMW Championship field now finalized, SportsLine conducted 10,000 tournament simulations, yielding unexpected outcomes. Visit SportsLine to view the projected leaderboard.
2025 BMW Championship forecasts
A significant surprise projected by the model for the 2025 BMW Championship involves Tommy Fleetwood, currently ranked fourth in the odds, encountering difficulties this week and barely securing a spot within the top 10. Fleetwood relinquished another 54-hole lead during the initial round of the playoffs, as his two-stroke advantage on the back nine gradually diminished. He has amassed 29 top-five finishes on the PGA Tour but has yet to secure a tournament victory.
The 34-year-old has achieved five top-10 finishes this season, including his sixth career runner-up position at the Travelers Championship. He has also attained a pair of runner-up finishes at major championships and has triumphed seven times on the DP World Tour. However, he currently faces a considerable mental barrier, leading the model to anticipate a challenging week for him. See who else to anticipate struggles for here.
Another surprising BMW Championship prediction from the model highlights J.J. Spaun making a strong push, despite being considered a +3000 longshot. Spaun engaged in three playoff holes with Rose on Sunday before Rose ultimately secured the victory. This marked another impressive performance for Spaun, who continues to generate unexpected attention this season.
Spaun has achieved six top-10 finishes and clinched the first major championship title of his career at the U.S. Open. He also finished second at The Players Championship and T2 at the Cognizant Classic. Spaun currently ranks seventh on the PGA TOUR in total strokes gained and sixth in strokes gained approaching the green, positioning him as a potentially rewarding longshot at Caves Valley. See who else to pick here.
Guidance for formulating 2025 BMW Championship selections
The model is also pinpointing three other golfers with odds of 30-1 or greater who are anticipated to make a strong bid for the title. Those who support these longshots could potentially reap substantial rewards. You can only access the model’s selections here.
Who will emerge victorious at the 2025 BMW Championship, and which longshots will defy expectations in the golfing world? Consult the 2025 BMW Championship odds below and then explore SportsLine to view the projected leaderboard, all derived from the model that has accurately predicted 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2025 BMW Championship odds, frontrunners
Obtain comprehensive 2025 BMW Championship selections, optimal wagers, and forecasts here.
(FanDuel odds subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +220
Rory McIlroy +750
Xander Schauffele +1800
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Ludvig Åberg +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Justin Thomas +2500
Cameron Young +2700
J.J. Spaun +3000
Maverick McNealy +3300
Collin Morikawa +3500
Russell Henley +3500
Ben Griffin +3500
Sam Burns +3500
Viktor Hovland +3500
Kurt Kitayama +3500
Chris Gotterup +3500
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Justin Rose +4000
Keegan Bradley +4500
Corey Conners +4500
Akshay Bhatia +5000
Harris English +5000
Robert MacIntyre +5500
Si Woo Kim +6000
Rickie Fowler +6000
Harry Hall +6000
Shane Lowry +7000
Taylor Pendrith +7000
Andrew Novak +8000
Jason Day +8000
Brian Harman +8000
J.T. Poston +8000
Denny McCarthy +8000
Sungjae Im +8000
Nick Taylor +10000
Lucas Glover +12500
Bud Cauley +12500
Daniel Berger +12500
Sam Stevens +12500
Jhonattan Vegas +12500
Ryan Fox +12500
Ryan Gerard +15000
Thomas Detry +15000
Michael Kim +15000
Jacob Bridgeman +15000
Tom Hoge +50000
Brian Campbell +75000
