The 2026 PGA Tour calendar commences with the 2026 Sony Open, held in Hawaii starting Thursday, January 15. This inaugural event of the season, hosted at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, is scheduled a week later than customary, following the cancellation of The Sentry this year due to issues with the course. Consequently, the Hawaii Swing will feature only a single tournament this season, leading some prominent players to forego participation. Nevertheless, notable golfers such as Collin Morikawa, Hideki Matsuyama, J.J. Spaun, and Jordan Spieth are included in the Sony Open lineup, with the initial tee-off for Round 1 set for 12:10 p.m. ET.
Recent betting lines for the 2026 Sony Open, provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, position Russell Henley as the leading contender at +1100. Matsuyama and Ben Griffin share odds of +1700, with Spaun closely behind at +1800. Morikawa, Si Woo Kim, and Robert MacIntyre are all listed at +2000. For individuals considering their 2026 Sony Open selections, or compiling PGA DFS lineups on platforms such as FanDuel or DraftKings, insights into golf predictions and the anticipated leaderboard are available from the well-regarded analytical model at SportsLine.
The specialized analytical model from SportsLine, developed by DFS expert Mike McClure, has shown consistent strong performance since the PGA Tour recommenced in June 2020. Indeed, this model has generated a profit exceeding $8,000 on its top selections since golf’s return, accurately predicting outcomes across numerous tournaments.
Furthermore, this identical model has successfully identified winners in an impressive 16 major championships leading into the current weekend, which includes the 2025 Masters—marking its fourth consecutive Masters success—along with this year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Individuals who have paid attention to its sports wagering recommendations might have experienced substantial gains via betting sites.
With the competitor roster for the 2026 Sony Open now finalized, SportsLine conducted a simulation of the tournament 10,000 times, revealing unexpected outcomes. An overview of the forecasted leaderboard from this analysis is available.
Forecasts for the 2026 Sony Open
A significant unexpected finding from the model for the 2026 Sony Open indicates that Henley, who is currently the betting favorite and starts Round 1 at 12:54 p.m. ET on Thursday, is projected to perform below expectations, concluding the event barely within the top five. He is identified as a player to potentially disregard this week. The 2013 Sony Open winner has not consistently replicated his past triumph at this competition. Since his win, he has failed to make the cut twice and recorded three other placements outside the top 30. His performance last year was a T10 finish. Having competed only once since last year’s playoffs, where he placed 19th at the Procore Championship, the model expresses reservations about his current worth as a top choice. Further insights into other players to potentially overlook are also discussed.
In another surprising forecast, Ben Griffin, carrying +1700 odds, is predicted to contend strongly for the championship. He represents an appealing choice for those seeking substantial returns. “He offers one of the strongest values available,” McClure communicated to SportsLine, noting, “My projected odds for him are significantly tighter than the prevailing market, which is ideal when placing an outright wager with better value.” Additional player recommendations are also provided.
Strategies for 2026 Sony Open Selections
Among the model’s top recommendations are five long-shot contenders with odds of +3500 or greater for outright victories, including a notably high-odds underdog at +40000. Comprehensive details on these selections are available.
Who is poised to claim victory at the 2026 Sony Open, and which less favored players are expected to create a stir in the golfing community? Review the 2026 Sony Open odds presented below to understand the forecasted leaderboard, derived from the analytical model credited with accurately predicting 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Sony Open Betting Odds and Top Contenders
(odds subject to change)
Russell Henley +1100
Ben Griffin +1700
Hideki Matsuyama +1700
J.J. Spaun +1800
Collin Morikawa +2000
Robert MacIntyre +2000
Si Woo Kim +2000
Keegan Bradley +2200
Corey Conners +2500
Maverick McNealy +2800
Harry Hall +3500
Aaron Rai +3500
Kurt Kitayama +4000
Chris Kirk +4000
Nick Taylor +4000
Keith Mitchell +4000
Adam Scott +4000
Jordan Spieth +4500
Rico Hoey +4500
Chris Gotterup +4500
Kevin Yu +5000
Nicolas Echavarria +5000
John Keefer +5000
Denny McCarthy +5000
Brian Harman +5000
Kristoffer Reitan +5500
Taylor Pendrith +5500
Jake Knapp +5500
Eric Cole +5500
Mac Meissner +6000
Matt McCarty +6500
Daniel Berger +6500
Michael Brennan +6500
Gary Woodland +7000
Neal Shipley +7000
Emiliano Grillo +7500
Billy Horschel +7500
Sam Stevens +7500
Pierceson Coody +7500
Michael Kim +7500
Webb Simpson +8000
Ryan Gerard +8000
Alex Smalley +8000
Vince Whaley +9000
Sahith Theegala +9000
Jordan Smith +9000
Haotong Li +9000
Tom Kim +10000
Tony Finau +10000
Seamus Power +10000
Matti Schmid +10000
John Parry +10000
Chandler Blanchet +10000
Lee Hodges +10000
Patrick Rodgers +11000
Bud Cauley +11000
Max McGreevy +11000
Luke Clanton +11000
Doug Ghim +12000
William Mouw +12000
Jacob Bridgeman +12000
Mark Hubbard +13000
Austin Eckroat +13000
Ricky Castillo +14000
Adrien Dumont De Chassart +14000
Zac Blair +16000
Daniel Brown +16000
Steven Fisk +16000
David Ford +17000
Beau Hossler +17000
Adam Svensson +17000
Keita Nakajima +18000
Takumi Kanaya +18000
S.H. Kim +18000
Christo Lamprecht +18000
Chad Ramey +19000
Kevin Roy +20000
Dylan Wu +20000
Erik Van Rooyen +20000
Ryo Hisatsune +20000
Nick Dunlap +20000
Adrien Saddier +20000
Cam Davis +25000
Alejandro Tosti +25000
Davis Riley +25000
Austin Smotherman +25000
Patton Kizzire +25000
Matthieu Pavon +25000
Brian Campbell +25000
Zecheng Dou +25000
Zach Johnson +25000
Chandler Phillips +25000
Adam Schenk +25000
Tom Hoge +30000
Kensei Hirata +30000
Gordon Sargent +30000
Seung Taek Lee +35000
Emilio Gonzalez +35000
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +40000
Kota Kaneko +40000
Hank Lebioda +40000
Brice Garnett +40000
Davis Chatfield +45000
Ren Yonezawa +50000
Pontus Nyholm +50000
John Vanderlaan +50000
Jeffrey Kang +50000
Yuta Sugiura +60000
Joe Highsmith +60000
Zach Bauchou +70000
Kazuki Higa +70000
Marcelo Rozo +70000
Danny Walker +70000
Vijay Singh +80000
Peter Malnati +80000
Rafael Campos +100000
A.J. Ewart +100000
