Week 4 NFL Picks: Model Backs Giants and Seahawks

The schedule for Week 4 of the NFL season represents the final slate for some time featuring a full 16-game lineup, since bye weeks are set to begin in Week 5. Prior to that, however, the league heads across the pond to London for an international matchup between the Colts and the Commanders, with Indianapolis currently established as a 3.5-point favorite. Sunday’s lineup also features a mere pair of division rivalries, highlighting the Patriots against the Bills (-7) and the Chiefs facing the Raiders (+4.5). Meanwhile, Monday night brings another divisional showdown that simultaneously serves as a historic milestone. According to the Week 4 point spreads, New Orleans is favored by 2.5 points over Atlanta in a game marking two decades since the famous 2006 “Domecoming” return. Unlock the newest Polymarket promotional code CBSSPORTS to secure a $25 reward when you complete $10 in trades:

For bettors searching for Week 4 NFL selections involving massive favorites, a pair of matchups immediately command attention. Baltimore is currently laid as an 11.5-point favorite against the winless Titans, while Minnesota is favored by double digits (10 points) over a winless 0-3 Miami squad. Below, you will find the complete list of revised Week 4 betting lines, and the sophisticated simulation engine at SportsLine has generated the necessary wagering recommendations and forecasts to assist you in locking in your top Week 4 football picks today.

This analytical system, which runs 10,000 computer simulations for each professional football matchup, has generated profits exceeding $7,000 for $100 bettors following its primary recommendations since it launched. Heading into Week 4 of the 2026 campaign, the algorithm is riding a solid 54-43 streak on highly-rated selections that extends back to the 2024 season. Sportsbook users who have mirrored these recommendations have historically enjoyed significant yields.

At present, the computer has analyzed the current Week 4 point spreads and game lines to finalize its projected selections for every single matchup. Click this link to review the complete set of forecasts.

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Leading NFL projections for Week 4

One of the most confident recommendations generated by the system for users of the leading sportsbook applications is that New York (+2.5, 44.5) will beat the spread against Arizona during Sunday’s early afternoon window at 1 p.m. ET. The Cardinals’ season-opening victory against Los Angeles has lost some of its luster, especially since Arizona has surrendered over 30 points in consecutive defeats since then. Furthermore, the Cardinals hold a weak 5-9 record against the spread following a defeat since the previous season, whereas the Giants are finding ways to execute in critical situational metrics. New York currently paces the league in offensive ball control time alongside defensive starting position. The computer projects the Giants to cover the line in over half of the trials, while estimating a 56% probability that the total goes Over. Access the full suite of team selections here.

A secondary prominent Week 4 forecast: Seattle (-7, 42.5) is expected to cover the line against Los Angeles. Although the Chargers managed to force five turnovers against Buffalo last weekend, they still walked away with a loss, extending their losing streak to six consecutive games dating back to last season. Throughout those six defeats, they have failed to score more than 17 points in any contest, and they must now face a highly motivated Seattle team looking to rebound after their 12-game winning streak was snapped. That loss occurred on the heels of a long road trip to Washington, but this week the Seahawks are back home, where they have not lost a game in a full calendar year. Meanwhile, Justin Herbert has compiled a ratio of 10 touchdown passes to 11 turnovers during his past ten appearances, leading the system to project Seattle covering the spread in roughly 60% of runs, while the total is modeled to surpass the Over at a clip exceeding 60%. Reveal the remaining game forecasts here.

How to make Week 4 NFL picks

Additionally, the computer has finalized its straight-up and against-the-spread projections for the remaining slate of games on the Week 4 schedule, earmarking five specific squads expected to secure victories by 10 points or more—offering valuable opportunities for high-yield alternative spread wagers. These exclusive game-by-game projections are accessible only through SportsLine.

Which Week 4 pro football selections should you back with absolute certainty, and which five specific spreads are must-bets today? Review the updated betting numbers below, then head over to SportsLine to discover which franchises will secure victories and cover, powered by a highly reliable algorithm with over $7,000 in documented profits.

Week 4 NFL betting odds, lines, spreads, scores

Access all Week 4 football selections at SportsLine